Research
We publish how our own indicator has behaved — including when the answer is unflattering.
Does the OG Score line up with what happens next?
Every weekday at 21:00 UTC we snapshot each ticker's OG Score. Below: the median price move over the following 7 and 30 days, grouped by the score band the ticker was in that day — the same Bullish/Neutral/Bearish bands shown on every score chip.
Read this before the numbers
- This is a small sample from one market regime. Snapshots span 2026-02-19 to 2026-09-10 — 135 trading days in a single stretch of one market cycle. Nothing here says how the score behaves in a different market.
- Observations overlap. Consecutive days share most of their forward window, so the ticker-day counts overstate the number of independent observations. The “distinct days” column is the honest denominator.
- This is not a strategy backtest. No transaction costs, no position sizing, no tradeable claim — descriptive statistics about an indicator, nothing more.
- Not investment advice. The OG Score is an educational sentiment lens. Past alignment, weak or strong, doesn't predict future alignment.
Forward 7-day price move
125 usable snapshot days · 7849 ticker-day observations- Bearish (< −30)-0.1%middle 50%: -7.6% to +7.4%1384 ticker-days · 116 distinct
- Leaning bearish (−30 to −11)+0.3%middle 50%: -5.8% to +7.1%1607 ticker-days · 125 distinct
- Neutral (−10 to +10)+0.2%middle 50%: -5.1% to +6.1%1931 ticker-days · 125 distinct
- Leaning bullish (+11 to +30)-0.0%middle 50%: -5.4% to +5.3%1553 ticker-days · 119 distinct
- Bullish (> +30)-0.9%middle 50%: -7.7% to +5.2%1374 ticker-days · 107 distinct
| Score band that day | Median move | Middle 50% of outcomes | Ticker-days | Distinct days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bearish (< −30) | -0.1% | -7.6% to +7.4% | 1384 | 116 |
| Leaning bearish (−30 to −11) | +0.3% | -5.8% to +7.1% | 1607 | 125 |
| Neutral (−10 to +10) | +0.2% | -5.1% to +6.1% | 1931 | 125 |
| Leaning bullish (+11 to +30) | -0.0% | -5.4% to +5.3% | 1553 | 119 |
| Bullish (> +30) | -0.9% | -7.7% to +5.2% | 1374 | 107 |
Forward 30-day price move
108 usable snapshot days · 6660 ticker-day observations- Bearish (< −30)-1.8%middle 50%: -18.5% to +14.8%1260 ticker-days · 99 distinct
- Leaning bearish (−30 to −11)+0.7%middle 50%: -12.3% to +16.0%1408 ticker-days · 108 distinct
- Neutral (−10 to +10)+2.8%middle 50%: -9.0% to +18.4%1638 ticker-days · 108 distinct
- Leaning bullish (+11 to +30)+0.5%middle 50%: -10.0% to +14.3%1208 ticker-days · 102 distinct
- Bullish (> +30)-2.6%middle 50%: -16.4% to +12.7%1146 ticker-days · 92 distinct
| Score band that day | Median move | Middle 50% of outcomes | Ticker-days | Distinct days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bearish (< −30) | -1.8% | -18.5% to +14.8% | 1260 | 99 |
| Leaning bearish (−30 to −11) | +0.7% | -12.3% to +16.0% | 1408 | 108 |
| Neutral (−10 to +10) | +2.8% | -9.0% to +18.4% | 1638 | 108 |
| Leaning bullish (+11 to +30) | +0.5% | -10.0% to +14.3% | 1208 | 102 |
| Bullish (> +30) | -2.6% | -16.4% to +12.7% | 1146 | 92 |
Method: a ticker-day enters a band by its snapshot score; the move is measured to the first trading close on or after +7/+30 calendar days. Prices: daily closes (Yahoo Finance). Computed 9/10/2026 under methodology v1.4.0 across 78 tickers. Results will be segmented by methodology version as eras accumulate — see the methodology changelog.