Research
We publish how our own indicator has behaved — including when the answer is unflattering.
Does the OG Score line up with what happens next?
Every weekday at 21:00 UTC we snapshot each ticker's OG Score. Below: the median price move over the following 7 and 30 days, grouped by the score band the ticker was in that day — the same Bullish/Neutral/Bearish bands shown on every score chip.
Read this before the numbers
- This is a small sample from one market regime. Snapshots span 2026-02-19 to 2026-07-27 — 102 trading days in a single stretch of one market cycle. Nothing here says how the score behaves in a different market.
- Observations overlap. Consecutive days share most of their forward window, so the ticker-day counts overstate the number of independent observations. The “distinct days” column is the honest denominator.
- This is not a strategy backtest. No transaction costs, no position sizing, no tradeable claim — descriptive statistics about an indicator, nothing more.
- Not investment advice. The OG Score is an educational sentiment lens. Past alignment, weak or strong, doesn't predict future alignment.
Forward 7-day price move
92 usable snapshot days · 5676 ticker-day observations- Bearish (< −30)-1.7%middle 50%: -8.8% to +5.6%1132 ticker-days · 85 distinct
- Leaning bearish (−30 to −11)-0.4%middle 50%: -7.0% to +5.7%1214 ticker-days · 92 distinct
- Neutral (−10 to +10)+0.0%middle 50%: -5.8% to +5.8%1360 ticker-days · 92 distinct
- Leaning bullish (+11 to +30)-0.0%middle 50%: -5.6% to +5.2%990 ticker-days · 86 distinct
- Bullish (> +30)-0.2%middle 50%: -6.5% to +6.4%980 ticker-days · 77 distinct
| Score band that day | Median move | Middle 50% of outcomes | Ticker-days | Distinct days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bearish (< −30) | -1.7% | -8.8% to +5.6% | 1132 | 85 |
| Leaning bearish (−30 to −11) | -0.4% | -7.0% to +5.7% | 1214 | 92 |
| Neutral (−10 to +10) | +0.0% | -5.8% to +5.8% | 1360 | 92 |
| Leaning bullish (+11 to +30) | -0.0% | -5.6% to +5.2% | 990 | 86 |
| Bullish (> +30) | -0.2% | -6.5% to +6.4% | 980 | 77 |
Forward 30-day price move
77 usable snapshot days · 4656 ticker-day observations- Bearish (< −30)-5.7%middle 50%: -20.9% to +9.0%970 ticker-days · 70 distinct
- Leaning bearish (−30 to −11)-2.0%middle 50%: -15.6% to +13.9%970 ticker-days · 77 distinct
- Neutral (−10 to +10)+1.9%middle 50%: -10.2% to +19.5%1074 ticker-days · 77 distinct
- Leaning bullish (+11 to +30)+1.0%middle 50%: -10.7% to +18.2%795 ticker-days · 71 distinct
- Bullish (> +30)+0.1%middle 50%: -15.8% to +17.9%847 ticker-days · 64 distinct
| Score band that day | Median move | Middle 50% of outcomes | Ticker-days | Distinct days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bearish (< −30) | -5.7% | -20.9% to +9.0% | 970 | 70 |
| Leaning bearish (−30 to −11) | -2.0% | -15.6% to +13.9% | 970 | 77 |
| Neutral (−10 to +10) | +1.9% | -10.2% to +19.5% | 1074 | 77 |
| Leaning bullish (+11 to +30) | +1.0% | -10.7% to +18.2% | 795 | 71 |
| Bullish (> +30) | +0.1% | -15.8% to +17.9% | 847 | 64 |
Method: a ticker-day enters a band by its snapshot score; the move is measured to the first trading close on or after +7/+30 calendar days. Prices: daily closes (Yahoo Finance). Computed 7/27/2026 under methodology v1.4.0 across 76 tickers. Results will be segmented by methodology version as eras accumulate — see the methodology changelog.